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Economy

Economy

Rubio's India trip makes Iran's oil shock a diplomatic test

Rubio's India energy talks show how the Iran oil shock is forcing US diplomacy, Russian waivers and Gulf supply risk into one negotiation.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

Consumer sentiment hits record low as price fears spread

Consumer sentiment hit a record low in May as Americans braced for higher fuel and food costs, sharpening the Fed's inflation dilemma.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

Japan exports beat forecasts as chip shipments lift trade

Japan exports beat forecasts in April as semiconductor shipments drove 14.8 per cent growth and helped deliver a 301.9 billion yen trade surplus.

By Kai Mendel
Economy

White House says China to buy $17bn of US farm goods

The White House said China will buy at least $17 billion of US farm goods a year through 2028, though Beijing has not publicly endorsed the figure.

By Ramona Castellanos
Economy

China's tariff account clouds Trump summit trade claims

Beijing's account of the Trump-Xi summit suggests tariffs were discussed and perhaps partially bargained, raising questions about what trade terms were actually settled.

By Ramona Castellanos
Economy

Trump returns from China to renewed inflation pressure

Trump returned to Beijing to a hotter inflation reading, leaving a thin summit outcome to compete with higher prices and tariff doubts at home.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

Student loan defaults return as 2026 repayment reset nears

Student loan defaults are rising in 2026 as pandemic relief ends and July rule changes force millions of borrowers into new repayment plans.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

UAE fast-tracks second oil export pipeline around Hormuz

The UAE is accelerating a second export pipeline to Fujairah, turning Gulf chokepoint fears into a concrete bid to harden oil flows against Hormuz disruption.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

OPEC cuts 2026 oil demand forecast as Brent crude nears $106

OPEC slashed its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast by roughly 200,000 barrels per day, but supply losses from the Strait of Hormuz closure pushed Brent crude near $106 a barrel as cartel production fell more than 30 percent since the Iran war began.

By Pria Kothari
Markets

Warsh confirmed Fed chair as US inflation hits 3.8 per cent

The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as chair of the Federal Reserve in a 54-45 vote, the most divisive in the institution's history, as April consumer prices rose 3.8 per cent — the fastest pace since May 2023.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

Gilt yields hit 1998 high as Streeting quits to challenge Starmer

UK 30-year gilt yields surged to their highest level since 1998 on Wednesday after Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned to launch a leadership challenge against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, rattling bond markets already strained by the Iran war and a global energy crunch.

By Dana Whitfield
Economy

US consumer prices rise 3.8% in April, dimming Fed cut hopes

Headline inflation hit 3.8% in April, the highest since May 2023, with core prices also running above forecasts as the Iran war keeps energy costs elevated and markets push back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

Bessent tells Congress oil prices will drop after Iran conflict

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told lawmakers he expects oil and gasoline prices to fall sharply once the U.S.-led conflict with Iran concludes, pointing to the Strait of Hormuz as the main price driver.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

Oil climbs as Trump warns Iran truce on life support

Brent crude closed at $107.77 a barrel Monday after Trump dismissed Iran's ceasefire offer and warned the truce was on "life support," prolonging Hormuz closure.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

OPEC Oil Output Sinks to 26-Year Low as Iran War Chokes Hormuz Traffic

OPEC crude production fell to 20.04 million barrels per day in April, the lowest since 2000, as the Iran war shut down tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and left Gulf producers unable to ship barrels to global markets.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

Trump moves to suspend gas tax amid Iran war

Trump plans to suspend the 18.4-cent gas tax as Iran war pushes prices to $4.52. The proposal requires Congress and drains $500 million weekly.

By Yara Halabi
Economy

US CPI seen at 3.7% in April amid Iran war

The consumer price index is forecast to show a 0.6% monthly increase, pushing the annual rate to 3.7% — the highest since September 2023 as energy costs from the Iran war persist.

By Marcus Holloway
Economy

Basrah crudes lead global gains as oil prices climb on Iran ceasefire uncertainty

Basrah crude grades surged nearly 5 percent on Monday as fading optimism over an Iran ceasefire refocused markets on supply risks through the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent topping $106 and OPEC output hitting a 26-year low.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

Fed inflation tracker warns prices accelerating as Iran war fuel shock persists

Cleveland Fed nowcast shows headline PCE at 3.73 per cent in April and a Q2 pace above 5 per cent, narrowing the path to any 2026 rate cut. Goolsbee says cuts may slip to 2027.

By Marcus Holloway
Markets

Powell to stay on Fed board after chairmanship, breaking 75-year norm

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he will stay on the Board of Governors after his term as chair ends 15 May, citing an open criminal inquiry into the central bank's $2.5bn building project. The decision breaks a 75-year tradition.

By Marcus Holloway
Markets

Warsh nomination as Fed chair raises bull-market unwind risk, analysts warn

Kevin Warsh's arrival as Federal Reserve chair on May 15 sets in motion forces that could unwind the equity rally. His agenda to shrink the $6.7 trillion balance sheet and negotiate a new Treasury-Fed accord collides with Trump's demand for rate cuts.

By Marcus Holloway
US Politics

Voter Disapproval of Trump Economy Hits 58 Per Cent in FT Poll

A Financial Times poll finds nearly 58 per cent of US voters disapprove of Donald Trump handling of inflation and cost of living, with majority disapproval also registered on his management of jobs, the economy and the Iran conflict six months before the midterm elections.

By Ramona Castellanos
US Politics

US Trade Court Rules Trump Global Tariffs Unlawful in Narrow Ruling

The US Court of International Trade ruled 2-1 that President Trump's 10 per cent global tariffs are unlawful under a 1974 trade law, but limited immediate relief to just three plaintiffs. The decision marks the second major judicial setback for the administration's tariff agenda in three months.

By Eli Donovan
Markets

Aramco Q1 profit rises 26pc as pipeline offsets Hormuz closure

Saudi Aramco reported a 26 per cent rise in first-quarter adjusted net income to $33.6 billion, beating analyst estimates. The crude price surge that followed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz flowed through to the state oil giant's bottom line.

By Pria Kothari
Economy

African oil producers face revenue risk as UAE quits OPEC

African oil exporters face a revenue squeeze while import-dependent economies stand to gain from lower fuel costs after the UAE exited OPEC on 1 May, ending 59 years of membership in the producers' group.

By Pria Kothari